Weekly Update – 17 March 2019 – LS Trader

The S&P 500 completed a change of long-term trend reversal back to up this week, and the Nasdaq 100 and Dax may complete the same this week. Interest rate futures also resumed their long-term uptrend, while the dollar and most commodities remain mixed.

Stocks

Stock indices have shrugged off declining momentum and have rallied this week. The S&P 500 completed a breakout and change of long-term trend to up for the first time since October last year. The Nasdaq 100 may complete a similar trend change this week, as could the Dax. The Dax has been in a downtrend since September. All three markets mentioned above have seen their RSIs already breakout above 60, entering the bull range.

Commodities

Copper and Palladium both held above support this week, with Palladium rallying back to just below recent all-time highs. Copper will likely test support again this week.

The energy markets continue to rally against the long-term trend and are still some distance away from a change of trend to up.

Most of the grains markets have rallied sharply from their lows this week, and resistance will likely be tested on Monday.

Currencies

The currency markets remain mixed with the long-term trend mostly favouring the dollar. The British Pound did make an intra-day breakout to the upside, so far without follow-through, and remains in an uptrend against the dollar. The COT report continues to show a significant net long position in the Pound from commercials.

Interest rate futures

Interest rate futures saw further strength and some breakouts this week. The markets have closed with their RSIs either at or just below the 60 level. A decisive break above 60 would suggest further rallies to test the January highs. The long-term trend remains up across the board.

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